Bike-Sharing Demand Forecasting Using Machine Learning
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62161/sauc.v11.6024Keywords:
Bike-sharing, Demand forecasting, Supervised learning, Unsupervised learning, Machine learning, SimulationAbstract
Bike-share systems work best when users can count on finding a bike and an open dock. That simple expectation is hard to meet during peak times and special events. We describe a practical, short-term demand-forecasting pipeline built using Machine Learning (ML) and deployed in Valladolid, Spain, as part of the EU-funded SPINE project. Using anonymized station-to-station records from the city’s bike-sharing system, we generate station-level forecasts over 60-minute horizons and feed those predictions to operations dashboards. Moreover, rebalancing strategies are evaluated in a simulation environment. We summarize the data flow and model architecture, show representative network-level results, and outline how the system can be used by the bike-sharing operator to support day-to-day decisions. We close with lessons learned and priorities for the next steps.Downloads
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